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Buy and Hold US Gov Bond 30Y — 2000 to 2024

Last Update: Dec. 7, 2024 3:26 p.m. (3 days, 21 hours ago)
NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVICE. RESULTS ARE HYPOTHETICAL AND SIMULATED. READ OUR DISCLAIMER.

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Current Positions and Signals

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Last Six Months
Last Three Years

Last 10 Trades
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Logarithmic Equity Curve with Drawdown

Linear Equity Curve with Drawdown

Underwater Equity Curve

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Yearly Percent Returns

Yearly Percent Returns Distribution

Yearly Performance Summary

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Monthly Percent Returns

Monthly Percent Returns with Benchmark

Monthly Percent Returns Distribution

Percent Returns Heatmap

Monthly Performance Summary

Overall Summary
Model Benchmark
Start Date 2000-01-01 2000-01-01
End Date 2024-12-06 2024-12-06
Time Elapsed 24 years, 11 months 24 years, 11 months
Starting Equity $100,000.00 $100,000.00
Ending Equity $364,031.43 $373,623.39
CAGR % 5.32% 5.43%
Max % Drawdown (41.00%) (28.57%)
Standard Deviation 3.51% 3.07%
Annualized Sharpe 0.24 0.27
MAR Ratio 0.13 0.19
Win Rate % 0.0% 42.1%
Avg Win / Loss Ratio 4.36
Expectancy $1.26
Avg Win % 0.00% 30.88%
Avg Loss % 0.00% (5.29%)
Longest Drawdown Duration 56.9 months 48.9 months
Avg Trades Per Year 0.00 0.76
Equity Breakdown
Model Benchmark
Starting Equity $100,000.00 $100,000.00
Ending Equity $364,031.43 $373,623.39
Open Equity $264,031.43 $0.00
Gross Profit $0.00 $370,996.94
Gross Loss $0.00 ($117,116.58)
Net Profit $0.00 $253,880.36
Net Long Profit $0.00 $253,880.36
Net Short Profit $0.00 $0.00
Net Long Profit as % of Net Profit 100.0%
Net Short Profit as % of Net Profit 0.0%
Earned Dividends $0.00 $0.00
Earned Interest $0.00 $19,743.03
Margin Interest $0.00 $0.00
Total Slippage $0.00 $0.00
Total Forex Carry $0.00 $0.00
Total Commissions $0.00 $0.00
Expenses
Model Benchmark
Margin Interest $0.00 $0.00
Total Commissions $0.00 $0.00
Round Turns 0.0 669.0
Commissions Per Round Turn $0.00 $0.00
Slippage Per Round Turn $0.00 $0.00
Risk / Reward
Model Benchmark
MAR Ratio 0.13 0.19
Calmar Ratio 0.14 0.20
Modified Sharpe Ratio 0.49 0.55
Robust Sharpe Ratio 0.46 0.49
R-Squared 0.8963 0.8239
Profit Expectation
Model Benchmark
CAGR % 5.32% 5.43%
RAR 5.61% 5.22%
Profit Factor 0.00 3.17
Percent Profit Factor 0.00 4.24
Expectancy $1.26
Percentage Expectancy 0.00 0.10
Total Equity Drawdowns
Model Benchmark
Max % Drawdown (41.00%) (28.57%)
Longest Drawdown Duration 56.9 months 48.9 months
Max Monthly % Drawdown (38.14%) (26.50%)
Avg of Top-5 Max % Drawdowns (22.98%) (21.46%)
Avg Duration of Top-5 Longest Drawdowns 33.9 months 37.9 months
Avg of All % Drawdowns (3.01%) (2.77%)
Std Dev of All % Drawdowns 4.35% 4.67%
Closed Equity Drawdowns
Model Benchmark
Closed-Equity Max % Drawdown 0.00% (14.59%)
Closed-Equity Max Monthly % Drawdown 0.00% (14.59%)
Closed-Equity Avg of All % Drawdown 0.00% (8.06%)
Closed-Equity Std Dev of All % Drawdown 0.00% 5.71%
Trades
Model Benchmark
Win Rate % 0.0% 42.1%
Lose Rate % 0.0% 57.9%
Winning Trades 0 8
Losing Trades 0 11
Total Trades 0 19
Max Consecutive Wins 0 3
Max Consecutive Losses 0 3
Avg Trade Duration 0.0 days 314.0 days
Avg Winning Trade Duration 0.0 days 608.4 days
Avg Losing Trade Duration 0.0 days 99.9 days
Largest Winning Trade $0.00 $126,225.36
Largest Losing Trade $0.00 ($32,828.35)
Largest Win as % of Net Profit 49.72%
Avg Win $0.00 $46,374.62
Avg Loss $0.00 ($10,646.96)
Avg Win / Loss Ratio 4.36
Avg Trade $0.00 $13,362.12
Avg Win % 0.00% 30.88%
Avg Loss % 0.00% (5.29%)
Avg Trade % 0.00% 9.94%
Avg Risk % 0.00% (98.26%)
Avg Trades Per Year 0.00 0.76
Avg Trades Per Month 0.00 0.06
Avg Trades Per Day 0.00 0.00
Monthly Win / Loss Profile
Model Benchmark
Winning Months % 56.7% 72.0%
Losing Months % 43.3% 28.0%
Winning Months 170 216
Losing Months 130 84
Total Months 300 300
Max Consecutive Winning Months 6 22
Max Consecutive Losing Months 7 5
Yearly Win / Loss Profile
Model Benchmark
Winning Years % 72.0% 56.0%
Losing Years % 28.0% 44.0%
Winning Years 18 14
Losing Years 7 11
Total Years 25 25
Max Consecutive Winning Years 9 5
Max Consecutive Losing Years 2 3
Rolling Periods
Model Benchmark
Rolling 3-Month Win Rate 59.4% 68.8%
Rolling 6-Month Win Rate 61.4% 65.1%
Rolling 12-Month Win Rate 70.6% 62.3%
Rolling 3-Year Win Rate 87.0% 87.0%
Rolling 5-Year Win Rate 81.0% 81.0%
Rolling 10-Year Win Rate 100.0% 100.0%
Rolling 3-Month Periods 298 298
Rolling 6-Month Periods 295 295
Rolling 12-Month Periods 289 289
Rolling 3-Year Periods 23 23
Rolling 5-Year Periods 21 21
Rolling 10-Year Periods 16 16
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Trade By Trade Chart
Instrument


Profit % Distribution

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Last Available Instrument Data

Current Open Positions

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New Open Orders

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