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Best Six Months US Equities — 2000 to 2024

Last Update: April 14, 2024 12:46 a.m. (2 days, 15 hours ago)
NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVICE. RESULTS ARE HYPOTHETICAL AND SIMULATED. READ OUR DISCLAIMER.

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Current Positions and Signals

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Last Six Months
Last Three Years

Last 10 Trades
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Logarithmic Equity Curve with Drawdown

Linear Equity Curve with Drawdown

Underwater Equity Curve

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Yearly Percent Returns

Yearly Percent Returns Distribution

Yearly Performance Summary

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Monthly Percent Returns

Monthly Percent Returns with Benchmark

Monthly Percent Returns Distribution

Percent Returns Heatmap

Monthly Performance Summary

Overall Summary
Model Benchmark
Start Date 2000-01-01 2000-01-01
End Date 2024-04-12 2024-04-12
Time Elapsed 24 years, 3 months 24 years, 3 months
Starting Equity $100,000.00 $100,000.00
Ending Equity $446,545.54 $546,780.40
CAGR % 6.36% 7.25%
Max % Drawdown (35.30%) (54.82%)
Standard Deviation 3.06% 4.41%
Annualized Sharpe 0.36 0.34
MAR Ratio 0.18 0.13
Win Rate % 78.3% 0.0%
Avg Win / Loss Ratio 1.03
Expectancy $0.59
Avg Win % 9.32% 0.00%
Avg Loss % (8.86%) 0.00%
Longest Drawdown Duration 37.4 months 73.5 months
Avg Trades Per Year 0.95 0.00
Equity Breakdown
Model Benchmark
Starting Equity $100,000.00 $100,000.00
Ending Equity $446,545.54 $546,780.40
Open Equity $82,835.60 $446,780.40
Gross Profit $318,273.55 $0.00
Gross Loss ($85,809.46) $0.00
Net Profit $232,464.09 $0.00
Net Long Profit $232,464.09 $0.00
Net Short Profit $0.00 $0.00
Net Long Profit as % of Net Profit 100.0%
Net Short Profit as % of Net Profit 0.0%
Earned Dividends $0.00 $0.00
Earned Interest $31,245.85 $0.00
Margin Interest $0.00 $0.00
Total Slippage $0.00 $0.00
Total Forex Carry $0.00 $0.00
Total Commissions $0.00 $0.00
Expenses
Model Benchmark
Margin Interest $0.00 $0.00
Total Commissions $0.00 $0.00
Round Turns 1,356.0 0.0
Commissions Per Round Turn $0.00 $0.00
Slippage Per Round Turn $0.00 $0.00
Risk / Reward
Model Benchmark
MAR Ratio 0.18 0.13
Calmar Ratio 0.21 0.14
Modified Sharpe Ratio 0.63 0.53
Robust Sharpe Ratio 0.62 0.56
R-Squared 0.9570 0.8692
Profit Expectation
Model Benchmark
CAGR % 6.36% 7.25%
RAR 6.62% 8.60%
Profit Factor 3.71 0.00
Percent Profit Factor 3.79 0.00
Expectancy $0.59
Percentage Expectancy 0.05 0.00
Total Equity Drawdowns
Model Benchmark
Max % Drawdown (35.30%) (54.82%)
Longest Drawdown Duration 37.4 months 73.5 months
Max Monthly % Drawdown (29.83%) (50.54%)
Avg of Top-5 Max % Drawdowns (25.32%) (35.85%)
Avg Duration of Top-5 Longest Drawdowns 24.5 months 33.2 months
Avg of All % Drawdowns (1.68%) (1.97%)
Std Dev of All % Drawdowns 4.27% 5.54%
Closed Equity Drawdowns
Model Benchmark
Closed-Equity Max % Drawdown (16.57%) 0.00%
Closed-Equity Max Monthly % Drawdown (16.57%) 0.00%
Closed-Equity Avg of All % Drawdown (10.77%) 0.00%
Closed-Equity Std Dev of All % Drawdown 4.83% 0.00%
Trades
Model Benchmark
Win Rate % 78.3% 0.0%
Lose Rate % 21.7% 0.0%
Winning Trades 18 0
Losing Trades 5 0
Total Trades 23 0
Max Consecutive Wins 10 0
Max Consecutive Losses 2 0
Avg Trade Duration 181.3 days 0.0 days
Avg Winning Trade Duration 181.3 days 0.0 days
Avg Losing Trade Duration 181.2 days 0.0 days
Largest Winning Trade $78,378.06 $0.00
Largest Losing Trade ($34,858.81) $0.00
Largest Win as % of Net Profit 33.72%
Avg Win $17,681.86 $0.00
Avg Loss ($17,161.89) $0.00
Avg Win / Loss Ratio 1.03
Avg Trade $10,107.13 $0.00
Avg Win % 9.32% 0.00%
Avg Loss % (8.86%) 0.00%
Avg Trade % 5.37% 0.00%
Avg Risk % (99.03%) 0.00%
Avg Trades Per Year 0.95 0.00
Avg Trades Per Month 0.08 0.00
Avg Trades Per Day 0.00 0.00
Monthly Win / Loss Profile
Model Benchmark
Winning Months % 82.5% 64.4%
Losing Months % 17.5% 35.6%
Winning Months 241 188
Losing Months 51 104
Total Months 292 292
Max Consecutive Winning Months 23 15
Max Consecutive Losing Months 5 5
Yearly Win / Loss Profile
Model Benchmark
Winning Years % 80.0% 76.0%
Losing Years % 20.0% 24.0%
Winning Years 20 19
Losing Years 5 6
Total Years 25 25
Max Consecutive Winning Years 9 9
Max Consecutive Losing Years 1 3
Rolling Periods
Model Benchmark
Rolling 3-Month Win Rate 80.0% 68.3%
Rolling 6-Month Win Rate 73.9% 71.4%
Rolling 12-Month Win Rate 77.6% 75.8%
Rolling 3-Year Win Rate 91.3% 78.3%
Rolling 5-Year Win Rate 100.0% 85.7%
Rolling 10-Year Win Rate 100.0% 93.8%
Rolling 3-Month Periods 290 290
Rolling 6-Month Periods 287 287
Rolling 12-Month Periods 281 281
Rolling 3-Year Periods 23 23
Rolling 5-Year Periods 21 21
Rolling 10-Year Periods 16 16
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Trade By Trade Chart
Instrument


Profit % Distribution

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Last Available Instrument Data

Current Open Positions

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